I had expected she would win 2-4 French regions in the second round of voting. It appears now she may win none despite winning 6 of 13 regions in the first round. In two regions, FN topped 40% of the vote, nearly winning outright in round one.
In French regional elections, any candidate with 10% of the vote or more goes on to round two, unless someone gets more than 50% in the first round.
Five Things Doomed Le Pen
- When socialists came in third place in the first round of elections, they dropped out of the race.
- A massive fear-mongering campaign ensued when Manuel Valls, the French Prime Minister Warned of "Civil War" if Le Pen Won.
- Socialists openly campaigned for candidates in the Republican party, the party of former president Nicholas Sarkozy.
- Disenfranchised socialists turned out heavily, apparently heeding the warnings of Valls, Hollande, and Satrkozy.
- Voter turnout is estimated to be 59% in the second round vs. 50% in the first.
There are 13 regions in France. Le Pen won 6 in the first round, Sarkozy's center-right Republicans won 4, and Hollande's socialists just 3.
The socialists hold all the regions now, abut following these elections Sarkozy's Republicans will hold the vast majority.
These elections represent quite a change, and quite a trouncing of the Socialists, just not what Le Pen envisioned.
Mike "Mish" Shedlock
from Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis http://ift.tt/1INTWnR Le Pen Fizzles in Second Round - Entrepreneur Generations
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