Who Is Voting For Trump? - Entrepreneur Generations

"I live in a rather special world. I only know one person who voted for Nixon. Where they are I don't know. They're outside my ken. But sometimes when I'm in a theater I can feel them." — Pauline Kael, 1972

"I began to ask everyone I met: Do you know anyone who supports Donald Trump? In more cases than not—actually, in nearly all the cases—the answer was no." —Byron York, 2016

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Two factors explain 60 percent of all the variance in Trump's support across 227 New Hampshire voting precincts:

• Cook Partisan Voting Index: For every 1 percentage point more liberal the precinct, Donald Trump's share of votes rises by 0.48 percentage points

• College attendance: For every 1 percentage point more college graduates over the age of 25, Donald Trump's share of votes falls by 0.65 percentage points.

Household income and population are insignificant statistically or substantively. Here is a visualization of Trump voters as both moderate and low-education, where I split the 227 precincts into PVI and education quintiles:

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My data set is here for your amusement. Compiled from New Hampshire Public Radio, Will Tucker, and the American Community Survey. 

from Evan Soltas http://ift.tt/1QmHmxk Who Is Voting For Trump? - Entrepreneur Generations

Posted by Entrepreneur Generations

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