A detailed analysis of votes in the 2020 presidential election gives a more accurate picture than exit polls of the Republican party's increasing popularity in rural areas, William Galston reports for the Brookings Institution.
The Pew Research Center analyzed a huge sample of "validated" voters, or those whose participation has been independently verified. According to those numbers, President Trump was favored by 65 percent of rural voters, up from 59% in 2016—a larger bump than was found in exit polls.
Other findings with rural resonance:
- Rural voters were less likely than their suburban or urban counterparts to have voted absentee or by mail ballot.
- The political split between rural areas and suburban and urban areas remained substantial in 2020, especially among white voters. Trump got 71% of the vote from rural white voters, compared to 62% in 2016.
- Overall, Biden voters were younger, more racially and ethnically diverse, and less likely to live in rural areas than Trump voters.
from The Rural Blog https://ift.tt/2VmP6Lb New analysis of 2020 votes shows Trump got a bigger slice of rural votes than exit polls had shown - Entrepreneur Generations
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